我完善的4H外匯交易系統，中英文對譯版高度還原交易真相！

Welcome to the 4 Hour MACD Forex Strategy. This strategy is aimed at simplicity as well as high probability trades. I have been in the equity market for almost ten years now and in the forex market for two years. I learned very early that forex trading is not for the shaky ones.One must have a tested and definite trading strategy as well as well organized discipline tofollow the strategy and execute the plan as to the letter. One must be exact and precise.

歡迎使用4 小時周期MACD外匯交易策略。這個策略是以高可靠性以及簡單操作為目的設計的。我在資本市場呆了差不多外匯交易策略。這個策略是以高可靠性以及簡單操作為目的設計的。我在資本市場呆了差不多10 年，外匯市場呆了2年。我很早就了解到外匯交易不是搖擺的人能交易的，外匯交易必須有明確的策略以及嚴格紀律來遵守這個策略和執行，交易者必須判斷正確而且下手精確。

Therefore I paper traded for almost two years and read everything I could lay my handson. I bought books and courses. I attend a 5 day live web seminar. All this did not help me at allas it did not fit my style of personality and I just did not seem to connect with all this different strategies. Over two years of watching the graphs with different indicators, moving averages etc. I started to get a feeling for the movement and motion of the market especially the EurUsd around certain moving averages.

因此我讀了2年的所有的幾乎我能得到的有關交易的文章，我買回書籍和教程，我參加了5天網絡在線研究會。發現所有的這些根本幫不上我，都不適合我，我看起來都不適合這些不同的交易策略。經過兩年多的用不同的指標、移動均線等看圖。對于市場運動和動量，特別是歐美圍繞一特定移動平均運動，我開始有一些感覺。

It wasn’t till late last year that I discover a setting with the MACD that gives easy to read signals on a regular basis on a 4 hour timeframe. I like the 4 hour timeframe as one are not glued to the screen full time.

去年不是很遲的時候， 我發現一個MACD 設置可以在4H框架上容易的讀到一些信號，我喜歡框架上容易的讀到一些

信號，我喜歡4h 的時間框架，不需要總是盯著屏幕。

If you look at FIG 1 below you will see that there were 14 signals over a period of 5 weeks. Within that period of FIG 1 the signals given were pretty good. There are times when some signals does not produce positive results. I then had to work on a filter system to only let me take the best ones. I found that the MACD when moving in a certain way produces a 95% accuracy. I will show you later how the high probability trades look like.

如果您看一下下面的FIG 1 圖，您會發現在5 周的時間內，有14 個信號發生。FIG 1中的給出的信號很漂亮，只有幾次信號沒有成功，我發現MACD信號有95％的正確濾，晚一點我會將看起來比較可靠的交易秀給您看。

In FIG 1 the signals are shown and FIG 2 shows that an entry is made after the 4 hour bar has closed and at the opening of the next bar.

FIG 1 標出了信號，FIG 2 給出了4 小時棒后及下一棒開始時給出的進出場點。

In FIG 3 another 19 deals were shown of which the last one was not finished yet so out of a total of 18 trades 5 were wrong and 13 were right.

FIG 3 給出了另外的19 個交易，最后一單沒有完成，這樣18 單交易5 個失敗，13單正確。

As it is a 4 hour strategy it means sometimes setting the alarm clock to catch an entry in the early morning hours. What makes it nice is that one will know after the close of a 4 hour bar whether the next 4 hour bar might close as a signal by just following the MACD. Therefore one can set an alarm at that time.

Have a look at FIG 1 to 3.

4H圖交易策略意味著有時候你可以設置一些報警，可以在早晨的時候去抓住一些進場機會。這多好，跟隨MACD ，你知道需要4 小時棒收盤，是否需要下一個4小時棒收盤作為信號，這樣你可以根據這設置一個鬧鐘提醒。

看看 FIG 1  到 3.

Disclaimer:

免責聲明

As trading in the Forex market is very risky, the reader if going beyond this point and applying the concepts and methods describing in this document do so on his or her own will and risk. The writer and or anyone involved in the compiling of this document will not be held responsible for any losses incurred by using the methods described in this document as no money management nor stoploss levels are discussed as it vary from trader to trader according to there own risk and capital profiles.

由于外匯交易非常危險，讀者如果按文章所描述的概念和交易方法交易，自行承擔風險。文章所討論的文相關的人都保留不承擔依據此交易方法包括資金管理，止損設置水平因個人承受風險的能力和資產水平而異，作者和任何人與保留不承擔由此帶來損失的權利。This was just to see and get a feeling for the graphs. Let us start to set-up our charts.

你看看這幅圖有個感覺，我們可以開始設置一下圖表了。

 Moving Averages:

移動均線

First of all are the moving Averages that we are going to use. 首先你要用到是移動均線

1. 365 Exponential Moving Average (365EMA)

2. 200 Simple Moving Average (200SMA)

3. 89 Simple Moving Average (89SMA)

4. 21 Exponential Moving Average (21EMA)

5. 8 Exponential Moving Average (8EMA)

MACD settings at

MACD按此設置

1. Fast EMA 5

2. Slow EMA 13

3. MACD EMA 1

Horizontal Lines:

水平線

Three sets of horizontal lines above and below zero should be drawn on the MACD window at levels as well as one on zero

設置零上零下的幾條水平線，在MACD窗口里，只要需要可以在0上拖過去。

1. Level +0.0015

2. Level +0.0030

3. Level +0.0045

4. Level –0.0015

5. Level –0.0030

6. Level –0.0045

Your Graph should look like this: (Choose your own colour and styles)

設置好后，你的圖看起來應該象這個樣子:( 你可以自己選擇顏色和線型)The MACD moves in certain patterns that when recognized can be very profitable trades. Let me show you the very important ones first. By not following every signal but only the ones that gives high probability trades through certain MACD patterns serves as a filter. The ones not familiar are not taken. This is the filter.

MACD 按特定的形態運動，識別MACD的特定圖形就可以很好賺錢。讓我首先給您看最重要的圖形。不是下面的每個圖形，但是不要根據每個MACD信號交易，除非這個信號給出高可靠的交易，通過特定的MACD 形態，MACD作為過濾器。不熟悉的不要做，這就是過濾。This pattern comes very regular especially A and D as the MACD has moved beyond the 0.0045 level and are due for a correction and or trend reversal. B and C are trend continuing patterns and are entered in the direction of the trend. Red circles indicates entry signal and entry is made on the opening of the next bar.

A和D，特別是MACD運動到超過0.0045后，由于趨勢修正或趨勢翻轉，這兩種形態在0.0045以上都經常出現。B和C是趨勢繼續型，按趨勢的方向進入。紅色的圓圈的進場信號標注的信號，在下一根K線開盤的時候進入。The head and shoulder is another definite.頭和肩是另一種明確的定義。Double top and bottom does not need any introduction as it speaks in any timeframe. 雙頭和雙底不需要任何介紹了，任何框架內都有介紹。When the MACD comes down towards the Zero line and turn back up just above the Zero line it is normally a trend continuing and should be taken and are normally a strong move.   當 MACD 向 0 軸向下運動，然后

在 0 以上反向向上運動，通常是趨勢繼續，通常是一個強的運動。Round tops and bottoms are for sure.Just be careful when within the first zone 0.0000 to 0.0015 above or below the zero. I like the rounding to be formed over at least 5 bars.   圓頂和圓底很確定， 當在第一區，在0－0.0015以上和0以下，要小心， 我喜歡至少5根以上棒形成的圓弧。This was a difficult month (Jan 2007)up to now but already 190 Pips up and a great move is coming as the price is within a range for almost 8 days. Lets see if that will happen. 這是比較難的一個月（2007.1 ），到現在已經190多點了，價格在一定范圍內，已經8 天了，讓我們看看將會發生什么。

Up to now I have only concentrated to give the signal on the MACD window so that you will be able to recognize it. It is easy to see the formation after it has formed. It takes a bit of practice to recognize it while it is forming. Lets look at a couple just to see how they look when the trade is entered.

到現在為止，我僅僅集中介紹了MACD窗口給出的信號，你已經可以識別這些信號了吧，在這些形態形成的時候很容易識別他們，只需要一點點練習就可以在他們形成的時候識別他們。讓我們看一對，當進場的時候怎么看他們。Let us look at the graph above. See how price levels play a roll in the support and resistance of the price movement. Say we entered the trade at Entry above. Our first profit target will be around our fast moving averages (8EMA and 21EMA). Our second profit target will be around the slow moving averages(89SMA and365EMA). Our third profit target will be at price level 1.2100 etc etc etc. This is how you plan your trade in advance to take partial profits till you complete the trade. Should there be a moving average or price level nearby and below your entry level you must take note that the price might go and test them. So your stoploss must be aware of that.

讓我們看看上你面的圖形。看看價格支撐和阻力在價格運動中扮演什么覺角色。在上面的進場點進場，我們的第一目標是快移動均線左右（8EMA 和21EMA）。我們第二目標是慢移動均線左右（89 均線和365 均線）。我們第三目標是1.2100等等。這是你在兌現部分利潤前預先要怎樣計劃你的交易，直到交易完成。你進場點附近的那條均線你必須注意，可能會測試，所以你的止損必須考慮到他們。

Again I ask you to study the movement of the price around the moving averages. When the price are above the 89SMA the trend is normally up and visa versa. After the price crosses the 89SMA it tends to pullback to the 21EMA before it carry on its direction if it is a trend direction change otherwise it tend to test the 89SMA again and then it runs over and across the 89SMA till it finds direction and then it pulls back to the 21EMA before proceeding on its path.

我再次要求你研究均線附近的價格運動，當價格在89均線之上，趨勢一般向上，價格上穿均線之上，趨勢一般向上，價格上穿89 均線后，在保持他原來趨勢向上運動之前趨向折回21ema，如果這是一個趨勢轉變的話，否則趨向再次測試測試89 均線，然后在上穿89ema，直到他找到他的方向，在沿著他的方向運動之前又折回21ema 。

Here are a live trade I did for someone in explaining how I trade. This is actual e-mails that I did send. 25 January 2007 21:00 (GMT+2) 這是我給某個人解釋我怎樣交易一個實盤交易，這是我2007.1.25 21 ：00寄出的真實

郵件。（GMT+2 ）。

Hi

I took it with 30 pip stoploss and hope I can add to the Gbp one earlier this week.

你好，我設了 30 點的止損，我希望我可以在這周早些的時候可以加到 GBPThe MACD pulled back to the Zero line and then closes lower which indicate a down move.MACD   拉回到0 線，然后收盤收在前低下面，意味著下跌開始。

“Got entry at 1.2955 and has set stoploss at breakeven at 1.2955 when price did hit 1.2935. I am scared for a false breakout below support but now the price can turnaround as I have a free ride.”

1 ． 2955 進場，當價格沒有碰到 1.2935 時 , 在突破處設置止損單， 我恐懼支撐下面的假突破，但現在價格翻

轉了，我可以自由掌控了。“Took 50% profit at 1.2920 and set other half stoploss at 1.2935”

在 1.2920 位置兌現 50 ％利潤，另一半止損設到 1.2935

“Hi

Amazing how it found support with Fibonacci. I wanted to do this trade with you as it developed so that you can see how I go about. I just had a feeling that the price is not going to go down to 1.2900 straight away so I applied fibonacci as there was no other indicator between the entry price and 1.2900. One has to listen to that little voice inside as well. I was stopped out on the other have at 1.2935 so the total gain was 35 pips on 50% and 20 pips on the other 50% for a total of 27.5 pips on full lot. Not bad for an hour work.

Greetings”

你好！

費那滋回調線的支撐真神奇，我想和你一起來做這次交易，隨著交易的發展，你可以看到我如何交易。我有感覺價格不會接跌向1.2900.所以我用費那滋回調線，因為在進場點到1.2900 之間沒有其他指標.誰最好還是聽一下一點聲音，我止損出來了，另一個在1 。2935 ，這樣在50 ％時總個收入是35 點，另一個50 ％時20 點，總共一手的收入是27.5。

這一個小時的工作不太差。

祝好！

This trade however was a bit risky as it was a breakout trade after ten days consolidation testing a trendline angling upwards. One has to evaluate the risk not only in terms of pips but also in terms of strategy and chart pattern. After a breakout the price very often turns back to test the breakout level and then that level becomes either support or resistance in this case it becomes Eur resistance.

這個交易仍然有點危險，因為是10天后一個釣魚線測試向上趨勢線的一個突破交易。誰最好先評估一下風險，不僅僅按點數，還應評估交易策略和形態。突破后，價格常常回測突破位置，然后這個突破的位置成為支撐或阻力，在這個例子中成為了歐元的阻力。

Stoploss have to be inside the breakout otherwise it can be triggered and then sometimes it can be very big before entry signal is given by the MACD.

止損需要設置在突破的內側，否則會被觸發交易，有時候會在MACD給出的進場信號之前很大。

Here is what I normally do when the MACD show s a signal but the stoploss are to big in relation to my capital or what I am comfortable with. I enter the trade in three stages with my stoploss set at the same level.

此時，我一般在MACD給出信號，但我覺得按我的資本不大或我覺得合適才做。我分三階段進場我的止損設在同一水平。I stopped counting the pips for the April 2006 testing as it completely convinced me of the success of this method. I randomly tested it using previous years and the results were amazing. Average of 300+ pips per month and then I only trade the trades that gives signals at these times 17:00, 21:00 and 01:00 (GMT +2). It gives between 8-10 deals per month using the mentioned timeframes.. (I use Metatrader and data supply by MIG.)

我停止計算2006 年4月的盈利了，已經安全證明了我的方法是成功的。我用去年的數據隨機測了一下，結果是驚人的。平均每月300 點以上上，只交易在17 ：00 ，21 ：00 和1 ：00(GMT+2) 出現的信號，用這個時間框架每月交易8 －10 單。（  我用MIG 提供的MT數據）

If you use patterns in the MACD that occur regular that gives results and use them every time they occur you will most definitely make money.

如果你每次用MACD 規則形態交易，你將大多數確定賺錢。

I haven’t discuss nor used trendlines so far in this document and when you add them it will most definitely helps you in defining your exit levels. The entry level are determine by the MACD but the exit or profit levels is determine by support and resistance levels. I use the moving averages as described earlier as well as Fibonacci levels and then most definitely trendlines and price levels. I normally take the daily graph and draw the trendlines according to it and then go to the 4 hour graph. I make them nice and thick so that I can see them. Then I draw the different price levels such as 1.2900, 1.3000, 1.3100 etc. It is amazing to see how the price find support and or resistance at these levels.

在這篇文章里我迄今為止沒有討論和使用趨勢線，一旦你添加他肯定可以幫助你找到出場點。進場點由MACD給出，但出場點和兌現利潤由支撐和阻力線確定。我用早先描述的移動均線以及費那滋回調線確定，根據他們畫趨勢線，然后再回到4H 圖，我將他們利用的很好，所以我們看到他們。 然后我畫出象1.2900,1.3000,1.3100等等不同的水平線，很驚奇的能看到價格再這些水平線上找到支撐和阻力。

I hope that this document will help you on your way to financial independents.

我希望這篇文章可以在實現財務自由的路上幫到你。

感謝作者！感謝譯者無私的奉獻!